Paul Boughton
Media tablets, private cloud computing, and 3D flat-panel TVs and displays are some of the technologies that have moved into the Peak of Inflated Expectations, according to the 2010 Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle by Gartner, Inc. Gartner has examined the maturity of 1800 technologies and trends in 75 technology, topic and industry areas. Each of the 75 individual Hype Cycle reports provides a snapshot of a key area of IT or business. Gartner says senior executives, CIOs, strategists, business developers and technology planners should consider these technologies when developing emerging business and technology portfolios. The "Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies" is claimed to be the longest-running annual Hype Cycle, providing a cross-industry perspective on the technologies and trends that IT managers should consider in developing emerging-technology portfolios.
Jackie Fenn, vice president and Gartner Fellow, states: "The 'Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies' features technologies that are the focus of attention in the IT industry because of particularly high levels of hype, or those that may not be broadly acknowledged but which we believe have the potential for significant impact.
"High-impact technologies at the Peak of Inflated Expectations during 2010 include private cloud computing, augmented reality, media tablets (such as the iPad), wireless power, 3D flat-panel TVs and displays, and activity streams, while cloud computing and cloud/web platforms have tipped over the peak and will soon experience disillusionment among enterprise users."
Transformational technologies that will hit the mainstream in less than five years include media tablets, cloud computing and cloud/web platforms. Longer-term, beyond the five-year horizon, 3D printing, context delivery architectures, mobile robots, autonomous vehicles, terahertz waves and human augmentation will be transformational across a range of industries, according to Gartner.
Fenn continues: "The Hype Cycle reports are a convenient way to look at a set of relevant technologies and trends. Many Gartner clients draw from multiple Hype Cycles, augmented with industry- or company-specific topics, to create their own Hype Cycles and Priority Matrices as part of their annual technology planning. Technology providers use Hype Cycles as a way to understand the likely market reaction to their products and services, while investors watch for technologies that are on the rise in a Hype Cycle to try to catch them before they move into mainstream adoption."
Gartner introduced the idea of the Hype Cycle in 1995 as a commentary on the common pattern of human response to technology. Since then, the use of Hype Cycles has expanded, both within Gartner and by its clients, as a graphical way to track multiple technologies within an IT domain or technology portfolio. Gartner's Hype Cycle characterises the typical progression of an emerging technology, from over-enthusiasm through a period of disillusionment to an eventual understanding of the technology's relevance and role in a market or domain. Each phase is characterised by distinct indicators of market, investment and adoption activities.
Additional information is available in "Gartner's Hype Cycle Special Report for 2010."
For more information, visit www.gartner.com/hypecycle
Jackie Fenn, vice president and Gartner Fellow, states: "The 'Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies' features technologies that are the focus of attention in the IT industry because of particularly high levels of hype, or those that may not be broadly acknowledged but which we believe have the potential for significant impact.
"High-impact technologies at the Peak of Inflated Expectations during 2010 include private cloud computing, augmented reality, media tablets (such as the iPad), wireless power, 3D flat-panel TVs and displays, and activity streams, while cloud computing and cloud/web platforms have tipped over the peak and will soon experience disillusionment among enterprise users."
Transformational technologies that will hit the mainstream in less than five years include media tablets, cloud computing and cloud/web platforms. Longer-term, beyond the five-year horizon, 3D printing, context delivery architectures, mobile robots, autonomous vehicles, terahertz waves and human augmentation will be transformational across a range of industries, according to Gartner.
Fenn continues: "The Hype Cycle reports are a convenient way to look at a set of relevant technologies and trends. Many Gartner clients draw from multiple Hype Cycles, augmented with industry- or company-specific topics, to create their own Hype Cycles and Priority Matrices as part of their annual technology planning. Technology providers use Hype Cycles as a way to understand the likely market reaction to their products and services, while investors watch for technologies that are on the rise in a Hype Cycle to try to catch them before they move into mainstream adoption."
Gartner introduced the idea of the Hype Cycle in 1995 as a commentary on the common pattern of human response to technology. Since then, the use of Hype Cycles has expanded, both within Gartner and by its clients, as a graphical way to track multiple technologies within an IT domain or technology portfolio. Gartner's Hype Cycle characterises the typical progression of an emerging technology, from over-enthusiasm through a period of disillusionment to an eventual understanding of the technology's relevance and role in a market or domain. Each phase is characterised by distinct indicators of market, investment and adoption activities.
Additional information is available in "Gartner's Hype Cycle Special Report for 2010."
For more information, visit www.gartner.com/hypecycle
